@andablackwidow: Expanding on the comment from one of previous articles: A Billion Humanoid Bots By 2040? Not a chance. Not because it can't be done, but because humanoid robots are a bad solution to the problem they are supposed to solve. A fully autonomous vehicle is great, putting a humanoid robot behind the wheel of a regular car, while it might work with sufficiently advanced robot, makes zero sense. The same is true for most of the tasks. How can that, even after years of improvement, ever be more efficient than those? A lot of tasks can't even be performed by humanoids due to the shape. F.e. pipe inspection. You need a soft robot that can learn how the pipe made of particular material should look like, how can it look after years of exposure to the substance it is used to carry, what type of damage or deposits might have built up inside, then get into the pipe, navigate it with no preloaded map (because documentation might be incomplete), recognize problems and carry on scraping sludge, pulling out clogs, filling cracks and patching leaks, all without control or even mere communication with people (because pulling cable might cause problems and wireless might have limited range). So learning, navigation and adaptability? Yes, yes, yes. Humanoid? No. Universal? No. Planes are viable vehicles because they do not copy the way of flying of any animals. Only recently people started to make drones that fly like birds, bats or insects, and mostly for fun / as proof of concept. The same way humanoid robots are a dead end as a product that can perform work, and in the same time a pinnacle of robot engineering as they are that hard to make. Big tech developing humanoid robots makes sense, because by the time they are made viable, engineers will have to solve several problems and that experience is going to be used to improve robots that are actually doing the tasks efficiently. The main point: there is no harsher environment for the robot than the one where it has to perform its tasks along humans. There will be billions of robots that can map and navigate the environment on their own, learn the same way humans learn (but faster) and adapt to specific tasks with no supervision, but only a tiny fraction of them will be humanoid.
@ai-summaries: Summary: In this video, the speaker discusses the potential impact of humanoid robots in the future. He mentions a tweet that caught Elon Musk's attention, forecasting the presence of a million humanoid robots on Earth by 2040, a billion by 2060, and eventually a hundred billion throughout the solar system. The speaker emphasizes that people often underestimate the potential impact of new technologies, using the proliferation of smartphones and in home gaming systems as examples. He highlights that the discussion around humanoid robots mainly focuses on commercial applications but suggests that there is a vast market beyond just replacing paid labor. The speaker encourages thinking expansively about the potentiality of humanoid robots and their impact on productivity and economic output. Detailed Article: The video delves into the topic of humanoid robots and their projected significance in the coming years. The speaker underscores the forecast presented in a tweet that captured Elon Musk's attention, indicating that by 2040, a million humanoid robots could exist on Earth. This number escalates to a billion by 2060, and a staggering 100 billion throughout the solar system by the same year. The speaker draws parallels to past technological advancements, like the widespread adoption of smartphones and in home gaming systems, to illustrate how people tend to underestimate the potential of new technologies. He points out that while the current discourse around humanoid robots revolves around their commercial utility in replacing paid labor, there is a broader market to explore. The speaker introduces scenarios such as using humanoid robots for mowing lawns, cooking, and housework, where the value proposition may extend beyond labor cost savings to time saving and convenience for households. By urging viewers not to constrain their imagination regarding the potential market size for humanoid robots, the speaker draws comparisons to everyday household items like microwaves, refrigerators, and automobiles. He prompts the audience to envision a future with a significant presence of humanoid robots and speculates on the implications for productivity and economic output. Overall, the video serves as a thought provoking exploration of the transformative potential of humanoid robots and the need to expand perspectives on their applications beyond conventional labor replacement scenarios. The speaker's emphasis on anticipating and embracing the exponential growth of technology prompts viewers to envision a future where humanoid robots play a pivotal role in various aspects of daily life, potentially reshaping productivity and economic landscapes on a global scale. Notice: This is an AI generated summary based on a transcript of the video. The summarization of the videos in this channel was requested/approved by the channel owner.